Friday, November 4, 2016

Final Prediction for the 2016 Presidental Election

After one and half years of  primaries, caucuses and debates. Election day is next week and a lot of Americans can't wait for it to be over (including me) but with that let's see who the next commander in chief will be. 

 How the Map was made: I used the latest data from polling websites such as RCL politics and 270TOWIN. 

How can Hillary Win: Maintain her numbers

Hillary is currently winning the election, if you go by polls but again. It's hard to "guarantee" her the win. States such as Pennsylvania, Florida and New Hampshire are almost within margin of error. So in all reality the election is closer than it's ever been. Also in the primaries with Bernie, The polls had him down by 20 points in Michigan and he ended up winning Michgan, So anything can happen. 


How Donald Trump can Win:  Florida + other State =  Donald Trump presidency

I think that the only way he can realistically  win is he definitely needs to win Florida.His best shots (for the other state) are Colorado or New Hampshire. Trump's official last campaign stop is New Hampshire , So he is definitely playing the game.


Conclusion: I think the election is definitely closer than ever. There hasn't been an election this close since 2000. I think that all it could take is one more email or scandal over the weekend, to make this blog post completely inaccurate. I guess we will have to wait until Tuesday. (too see)





Side note: I voted for Donald Trump, So full transparency for TPU. 
 

No comments:

Post a Comment