Final Prediction for the 2016 Presidental Election

After one and half years of  primaries, caucuses and debates. Election day is next week and a lot of Americans can't wait for it to be over (including me) but with that let's see who the next commander in chief will be. 

 How the Map was made: I used the latest data from polling websites such as RCL politics and 270TOWIN. 

How can Hillary Win: Maintain her numbers

Hillary is currently winning the election, if you go by polls but again. It's hard to "guarantee" her the win. States such as Pennsylvania, Florida and New Hampshire are almost within margin of error. So in all reality the election is closer than it's ever been. Also in the primaries with Bernie, The polls had him down by 20 points in Michigan and he ended up winning Michgan, So anything can happen. 

How Donald Trump can Win:  Florida + other State =  Donald Trump presidency

I think that the only way he can realistically  win is he definitely needs to win Florida.His best shots (for the other state) are Colorado or New Hampshire. Trump's official last campaign stop is New Hampshire , So he is definitely playing the game.


Conclusion: I think the election is definitely closer than ever. There hasn't been an election this close since 2000. I think that all it could take is one more email or scandal over the weekend, to make this blog post completely inaccurate. I guess we will have to wait until Tuesday. (too see)





Side note: I voted for Donald Trump, So full transparency for TPU. 
 

Bernie Sanders is the Frontrunner..... Time to Get Use to It.

Bernie Sanders is Officially the Frontrunner after  his New Hampshire win.The Democrat Nommine needs 2,382 to win the nomination so this race is far from over.

Tidbids
1. This was the first time a Clinton lost the New Hampshire primary.
2. Bernie Sanders raised 6.4 Million dollars just 24 Hrs after he won.

Iowa Poll:January 18th Republican/Democrat

It's that time again. The new poll number are in from an online poll done in Iowa Caucuses   . Either way This are the Results and some are surprising.

What do I have to say but damn Bernie wrecked this but hey O'Malley is still in this!

Not much to see here other than the surprise of Mike Hucabee's rise to second in this poll or the lack of Rubio in the Top 5 spots.

If The Nomination Process was today. (Democrat)

This is what the Nomination would be if it was done today. The gray is neutral, Blue is Bernie, Hillary is red , (O'Malley is orange).  Now as you can tell Hillary is utterly crushing it. I do not know how this compare to 2008 but I do know if Bernie Sanders fails to win at least 2 out of the 4 states. He will not will the Presidency. Some of you may ask about New Hampshire, I went of the latest poll that had Hillary in the lead.

If The Nomination Process was today. (Republican)

This is the best representation if the election ended today based on the current numbers. The gray is states with no polls, blue is every single republican other than mister trump. The Red is Trump and their is a lot of it. If this comes out true. Trump will win the nomination and win the first four states. You can say what you want about Mr.Trump but it's pretty outstanding that he is crushing the competition this badly.

December 2015 Poll for President

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 Poll ends December 8th